Downward down valuations evaluations unicorns post-IPO. (Yahoo Finance) Investors who bid up the valuations of high-profile unicorns are of course hoping that an IPO will ultimately bail them out. The problem is that public fund managers, like Fidelity or Blackstone, who control many of post-IPO stocks, look at the value of a company rather differently. If no one can see a clear roadway to profitability, then this hard-nosed method to assessment will lead to stocks tanking after an IPO. Since its IPO in May of 2019, Uber’s stock has actually fallen almost 40% from its peak, Lyft is down even more, and Softbank’s most recent investment in We appears to have actually wiped out almost 80% of its previous personal assessment.
There has been a mountain of press lately about how investors are souring on unprofitable unicorns.
We’ve seen this film prior to; for a while, it’s everything about growth, and revenues be damned, then the winds change, and everyone focuses on “capital efficiency,” or comparable lingo significance, “how can I get big returns without needing to put much cash at danger?”
The winds blow back and forth. Till extremely just recently, everyone was in love with consumer unicorns again. Now investors are licking their wounds, other than for those who eschewed the name brand names and chose dull old B2B and facilities business. They are doing simply great, thank you.
Why are investors paying too much for household-name unicorns? Is it that they actually think they are excellent possessions, or are other factors at play? The reality is that endeavor funds and personal equity funds are contending for financial investment funds themselves. I am personally an investor in several venture funds, and I have heard the pitch, “we were financiers in Facebook, Instagram, Uber, Twitter (or whatever), and we can get you access to these offers.” Sounds good, but what they do not tell you is just how much they paid (or overpaid) to be part of these deals. It’s such rubbish and the perennially bad returns delivered by the ego-driven equity capital market are its just rewards.